Economy
Central Bank Comments on Inflation Data.. And It’s Decisive Factor in Raising Interest Rates!
Investing.com – “The latest inflation report is disappointing,” Cleveland President Loretta Mester said Friday, commenting on consumer spending data, but said the U.S. Federal Reserve was not yet ready to say what to do next.
Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsby declined to say whether he would support a rate hike at the next Fed meeting on Sunday, June 13-14, noting that the full impact of the central bank’s rate hike has not been fully felt.
“The combination of rising inflation and very strong consumer spending will increase the likelihood that the Fed will raise interest rates again in mid-June,” said Cathy Postanczyk, chief economist at Nationwide Life Insurance.
“It will take some time to move them after the pause,” said Derek Tang, economist at LH Mayor/Monetary Policy Analysis, which on Friday raised its forecast for peak interest rates to 5.6% from 5.1%. June, but that raises the possibility of another hike after that.. Incoming data is strong, with the next hike coming in July instead of September.
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The central bank has a lot of work to do
“It’s probably not a foregone conclusion what that will be,” Meister said in an interview with CNBC when asked if another rate hike would be warranted at the FOMC meeting scheduled for June 13-14. But he added that Friday’s data confirmed the central bank has more work to do to get inflation back to its 2% target.
“Now, when I look at the data and what’s happening with the inflation data, I think we need to tighten,” Mester added.
“We’ve moved on; now it’s a ‘calibration’ process, and that’s the hardest part.”
Meester was interviewed by CNBC following the release of data showing that the central bank’s preferred ratio measure, the consumer spending price index, rose year-over-year in April instead of falling.
Mester cautioned that the central bank still needs to see more data before making its decision in June. “We have two and a half weeks ahead of us, and as I mentioned, some of this data is going to be very important data,” he said.
However, Mester noted that “everything is on the table” when the FOMC meeting takes place.
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The central bank is waiting for the data
Chicago Federal Reserve President Austin Goolsby on Sunday welcomed news of an agreement to suspend the U.S. debt ceiling, saying failure to reach an agreement would be “very negative” for the financial system and the economy.
During a televised interview, Goolsby declined to reveal whether he would support raising interest rates at the next Fed meeting on June 13-14, noting that the full impact of the Fed’s interest rate hike has yet to be fully felt.
“I’m trying to establish a policy of not feeding prejudices and making decisions when we’re weeks away from the date of the meeting,” Goolsby explained, adding, “We’ll get a lot of important data between now and the date of the meeting.”
Goolsby said there was already “fear and uncertainty” about interest rates, which the central bank has raised by a full five percentage points from March 2022.
“It could take months or even years for the Fed’s actions to have an impact on the financial system,” Goolsby said, adding, “There’s no doubt that inflation is still high, and we’re trying to manage that.”
After more than a year of aggressive rate hikes, central bank officials have indicated they could stand at their current federal funds rate target of 5%-5.25% while assessing how their past actions will affect the economy.
However, silver’s inflation data challenged their view that price pressures are moving back towards 2%, which puts June’s rate hike back on the table and could indicate that the central bank will need to raise rates further over time.
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Economy
لمائة قرير البنك القربة المصري تعليقة تعريف العربية?.. برقميون يجيبون
Cairo, Egypt (CNN) — The Central Bank of Egypt decided, Thursday, to keep interest rates at 19.25% and 20.25%, respectively, “attributing inflation to the bank’s expectations,” according to the bank’s view. زیادة فیلم “لم تعریف المنتدى الإناسب للدرترة على الثنفلة في قرآن”, في ذل تفعلهه بكريسة على المنتدى الأجنبي.
And Egypt faced an economic crisis with the outflow of indirect foreign investments and the rise of the import bill in the wake of the wave of global inflation and the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, and this crisis affected the shortage of foreign currency and the rise of the local inflation rate to unprecedented levels, which prompted the Central Bank of Egypt to increase interest rates by 1100 basis points. منذ شهر March 2022.
Al-Khair Banker Hani Abu Al-Futuh said that the Egyptian Central Bank remained on the interest rate “as a result of the failure to increase the interest rate in controlling the rate of inflation or even close the inflation gap with the bank’s targets at 7% (±2 percentage points) during the fourth quarter of 2024”. It is modeled after the central bank increased the interest rate by 11 percentage points since March 2022 when core inflation reached 40.4% by the end of August, indicating that “raising the interest rate is no longer a viable monetary tool to control inflation”.
The Central Bank of Egypt raised interest rates 6 times between March 2022 and August 2023 by a total of 1100 basis points divided between 800 basis points during 2022 and 300 basis points between March and August of the current year.
Abu al-Futuh added, in a special statement to CNN in Arabic, that “the reasons for the increase in the rate of inflation in Egypt are related to the crisis of the shortage of foreign currency, which affected the accumulation of goods in the port, and the increase in the cost of importing production supplies and raw materials, and with the continuation of the shortage of the dollar, the increase in the interest rate in Egypt will not be able to control inflation, unlike the United States of America, which succeeded in tightening monetary policy during the past months in order to control inflation, which led the American Fed to stabilize interest rates in the last meeting.
According to the data of the Central Bank of Egypt, the annual rate of inflation in the city rose to 37.4% in August 2023 from 36.5% in July 2023, and saw the annual rate of core inflation drop to 40.7% in July 2023 and 40.4% in August 2023. 2023 compared to 41.0% in June 2023
And I expected the Central Bank of Egypt to increase the interest rate at the last meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee during 2023, and related the decision to the government’s ability to treat the main causes of the increase in the rate of inflation, thus increasing the interest rate will play a role in controlling inflation.
واقدت السيسائي المنذاء بالبنك کنبری 6 meetings during عام 2023 The first day is 2 November and the second day is 21 December.
The expert banker Tarek Mutawli said that fixing the interest rate “comes within the framework of the government’s vision to reduce the impact of the economic crisis on citizens, as the inflation rate is far from the target of the Central Bank of Egypt and the rate has reached unprecedented levels of more than 40%, which would have required an increase in the interest rate to control the “Al-inflation except that the state adopts a vision to mitigate the negative impact of the economic crisis on the Egyptian citizen”.
During this week, the government allocated a new 60 billion pounds (1.9 billion dollars) to increase the wages of state employees and beneficiaries of the program “تكافل وكرامة”, which is a program of cash support for the most needy people, in order to alleviate the burden on citizens.
Metwalli agreed, with what Hani Abu al-Futuh mentioned, that the interest rate increase is no longer the most appropriate monetary tool to control the inflation rate, which has reached levels far from the target of the central bank, and that the interest rate increase is mainly related to the increase in cost as a result of the foreign currency shortage crisis, adding that The central bank favors to fix the interest rate हित्य युच्च मन तथायाइत करीजी अल्याण अल्याज़ी
And Tarek Mutoli, in a special statement to CNN in Arabic, linked the interest rate increase to zero during the last meeting of the monetary policy committee at the central bank this year, to improve the global economic situation, and to overcome the crisis of foreign currency shortage locally, which may prompt the central bank to continue stabilizing until the end of the year. 2023.
The Federal Reserve Bank of America and the Bank of England stayed on the interest rate during their meeting on Wednesday, leaving the interest rate in the range of 5.25 and 5.50%, the highest level for the United States in nearly 22 years.
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Economy
Emirates News Agency – Local shares gain Dh10.4bn, Dubai market at highest level in 8 years
Thursday, September 21, 2023 – 4:43 p.m
ABU DHABI, 21st September, 2017 (WAM): Local bourses consolidated their gains at the end of today’s trade, with their market capitalization above 10.4 billion dirhams, amid strong liquidity of nearly 2.5 billion dirhams.
The Dubai Financial Market continued its rise towards its highest levels in more than 8 years, while the Abu Dhabi Securities Market extended its gains for the third consecutive session.
The market capitalization of listed stocks increased from 3.564 trillion dirhams at the end of yesterday’s session to 3.574 trillion dirhams at the end of today’s session, with 2.87 trillion dirhams distributed to listed stocks and 704.4 billion dirhams in shares on the Abu Dhabi Securities Market. The Dubai financial market has crossed the 700 billion dirham barrier for the first time in its history.
Local stocks attracted liquidity of about 2.45 billion dirhams, 1.53 billion dirhams were distributed in the Abu Dhabi market and 916.2 million dirhams in the Dubai market, and about 532.2 million shares were traded by executing more than 32.5 thousand transactions.
– Abu Dhabi Market.
The FTSE Abu Dhabi general market index “FADGI” rose 0.24% or equivalent to 23.4 points to end at 9,845.99 points, while the “FADEX 15” index gained about 0.25% to close at about 24.39 points. At 9,557.56 points, the real estate sector index rose by around 6.67% and energy by 0.66%, services by 0.57% and financials by 0.04%.
“Aldar Properties” was the top gainer with a gain of 7.9%, while “Abu Dhabi Islamic” gained 2.32%, “ADNOC Drilling” gained 1.29%, “Vertiglobe” gained 1.14% and “ADNOC Logistics” gained 0.82%. , and “Yahsat” 0.77%. “Taqa” 0.57%, “First Abu Dhabi” 0.44%, “ADNOC Distribution” 0.26%, and “Abu Dhabi Commercial” 0.23%.
“Aldar Properties” was the largest share in the trade with about 325.9 million dirhams up to 5.87 dirhams, followed by “International Holding” which attracted 221.5 million dirhams to close up to 406 dirhams, then “Abu Dhabi Ports” reached 160 million dirhams. Dirhams and “Alfa Thabi.” 116.5 million dirhams, reaching the level of 20.48 dirhams.
– Dubai market.
The general index of the Dubai Financial Market rose 1%, or 41.28 points, to end at 4179.68 points, its highest level since August 2015, supported by a 3.41% gain by shares in the real estate sector. Communications 0.76%, Finance 0.49%, Services 0.43%, and Industry 0.21%.
The Dubai market’s performance was boosted by gains in real estate stocks, with “Emaar Properties” up 6.4%, “Tecom” up 1.12% and “Deyaar” up 0.29%. “Dubai Islamic” shares also rose. 1.57%, “Dubai Financial Market” 2.46%, and “Al Arabiya” shares increased 1.57%. Aviation 1.45%, Dubai Investments 0.82%, Empower 1.6%, Tabreed 0.85%, and Du 0.76%.
“Emaar Properties” led the action, attracting about 394.2 million dirhams in cash flow, followed by “Dubai Islamic” 127.1 million dirhams, then “Emirates NBD” 64.2 million dirhams and “Emaar Development” 57 million dirhams.
Imad al-Ali/Rami Samih
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Economy
Amid fuss over “dead monkeys,” Musk’s brain chip company opens registry for human trials
Neuralink, the biotechnology start-up trying to implant chips in the human brain under the watchful eye of entrepreneur Elon Musk, announced Tuesday that it will begin recruiting for its first human clinical trial. .CNNThis coincided with a publication by the “Wired” website, which claimed that the American billionaire had “misled” his followers about killing monkeys during clinical trials of the same chip.
After receiving approval from an independent review board, the company said Neuralink has decided to begin offering operations to implant its chips into the brains of stroke victims as part of the “PRIME” study, which stands for “PRIME.” Brain-Computer Interface, which means: “A precise, robotically implanted brain-computer interface.
The tests seek to evaluate the safety and functionality of the implanted chip.
Participating patients are expected to have a chip surgically implanted in the part of the brain that controls movement commands. The chip, installed by the robot, will then record and transmit brain signals to an app on a smart device, which seeks to “give people the ability to control a computer cursor or keyboard using only their thoughts.” Written by the company.
People with quadriplegia due to cervical spinal cord injury or amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) may be eligible for the study, which will last six years, including 18 months of home and clinic visits and five years of follow-up visits. Interested candidates can register. In the patient registry on the Neuralink website. .
Musk has spent the past five years working toward Neuralink’s goal of using chips to connect human brains to computers, but the company has so far only tested them on animals. The company faced scrutiny in 2022 after a monkey died while testing the program as part of an effort to get animals to play video games with their thoughts, according to the network.
Allegations of ‘dead monkeys’
An investigation conducted by the website revealedWiredA technology expert said on Wednesday that Musk had said none of the primate species used in the chip tests had died, and the investigation has called for US officials to investigate Musk’s claims.
The website indicated that there were “new allegations of possible security fraud” related to Musk’s statements following the deaths of monkeys participating in experiments for the company “Neuralink”.
That said the site Several letters sent by the Medical Ethics Committee The US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) “Physicians’ Panel for Responsible Medicine” called on the agency to investigate Musk’s allegations that macaques died during experiments because they suffered fatal diseases, not brain damage. pieces.
However, veterinarian records show that the monkeys died from complications following the implantation of the brain chips, the website said, citing letters sent to the committee’s authority.
Kasthuri confirmed that the monkeys had died… Tweet through his VX accountOn September 10th, he owned, in a reply to a user, where he denied that the dead animals were caused by a “Neuralink chip” and said researchers were “interested in using animals on the brink.” Death.”
At the same time, in a presentation to his company last year, Musk confirmed that Neuralink’s experiments on animals were never for “research” reasons, but rather to ensure that unified scientific principles were proven. “We are very careful.”
But public records it reviewed, as well as interviews with a former NeuraLink employee and a researcher who now works at the Primate Species Center at the University of California, Davis, “paint a completely different picture” of what’s going on in NeuraLink’s animal experiments, Wired noted. .
It noted that the public documents include veterinary records, made public for the first time last year, that “contain gruesome images of the suffering of up to 12 animals of Neuraling’s flagship species, all of whom had to be euthanized.”
Wired noted that the records “could form the basis of a possible SEC investigation into Musk’s comments about NeuraLink,” which has faced multiple federal investigations as the company moves toward its goal of introducing the first commercially available brain-computer interface for humans.
The U.S. authority declined Wired’s request for comment regarding the group’s ethics messages, and Neuralink did not respond to Wired’s questions about Musk’s comments or the group’s allegations.
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