May 20, 2022

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The second round of the French presidential election is a complex mathematical problem .. who to vote for?

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Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen have called on French voters to vote for each other in the second round of the April 24 presidential election.

In the semifinal results, Macron received 27.6 percent of the vote, compared to 23.4 percent for Le Pen.

Macron and tough challenge

Although the candidates had better results compared to the first round of 2017, the outcome of the second round depended on the votes of those who lost in the first round.

In the second round of elections conducted by the French Foundation for Public Opinion and the second round of elections published by “TF1” (Channel One), Macron faces a tough challenge because he received 51 percent, while Le Pen received 49 percent. .

Another poll by Ifop aimed to vote in the second round revealed a narrow preference for Macron, with 51 per cent of the vote in one poll and 54 per cent in the Ipsos poll (66 per cent lower than he did in 2017).

Macron thanked the failed candidates for calling for the blocking of the far-right candidate, while urging Le Pen to “join” all those who “did not vote” for the outgoing president.

Macron announced on Sunday that he would begin his election campaign in northern France, while Le Pen will meet with his campaign team next weekend before resuming grassroots efforts in small towns and the French countryside.

Who is supporting Le Pen?

Party leaders, including Eric Zemmour (7 percent) and Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (2 percent), called for a vote for Le Pen. In addition, a faction of Republicans (Valerie Beckress) did not want to elect Macron in the second round.

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If some had predicted that this would be 2 percent of the votes Begris received, the size of this section could not be determined.

Who will vote for Macron?

On the other hand, several parties demanded Macron’s support in the second round, including the Communist Party led by Fabian Russell (2.31 percent of the vote), the Greens led by Yannick Gadev (4.5 percent) and the Socialists. 1.74)

But support does not seem to be “free”. Green Party leader Sandrine Rousseau has argued that the outgoing president must “convince left-wing voters and environmentalists one by one” or he will “not win.”

For its part, Beckress called on his supporters to vote for Macron in the second round, but his constituency is divided, and there is a sharp line within him led by Eric Cuetti that he will not vote for Macron because this faction used vocabulary. And rhetoric closer to the far right than Macron’s centralism during the election campaign.

Jean-Luc Mன்சlenchon, referee

The prestigious Le Monde newspaper described Jean-Luc Melenchon, the leader of the French Protestant party, who, in the second round of the presidential election, received about 21.9 points and lost his candidacy to Le Pen.

Shortly after the results were announced, Mன்சlenchon called four times during his speech “not to give Le Pen a single vote,” but he did not explicitly call for a vote for Macron, which drew criticism from some. Jack Attlee.

However, unless a viable solution is reached between the two parties, all those who voted for Mன்சlenchon will not be able to vote for Macron for a number of reasons, including a major difference in the political and economic plans of the two leaders. Power will be distributed in the future.

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On the other hand, far-right voters, across its various parties, are likely to vote in detail for Marine Le Pen. All this turns the second round into a complex mathematical problem in which the participation rate also plays an important role.

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