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The value of the Turkish lira has fallen to its lowest level since the 2021 crisis

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The Turkish lira fell in light of doubts about the viability of the monetary security mechanism



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Posted: Wednesday, May 25, 2022 – 5:10 AM | Last Updated: Wednesday 25 May 2022 – 5:10 p.m.

The Turkish central bank continued to depreciate against the Turkish lira against the dollar during trading on Tuesday, with a decline in foreign exchange reserves and a continuation of flexible monetary policy. Inflation in Turkey cannot be allowed to be controlled.

The Bloomberg News Agency lira fell 1.5 percent to more than 16 16 a dollar, the lowest level since the financial crisis that hit Turkey late last year. The Turkish currency, especially as energy prices continue to rise, shows almost no signs of recovery.

Consumer prices in Turkey have been rising at an annual rate of 70% over the past month, significantly higher than the Turkish central bank’s target rate of 14% per annum.

Per Hammerland, head of SEB’s emerging market management in Stockholm, Sweden, noted that “pressure on the lira is mounting,” adding that “high inflation, indicators of a slowdown in the economic growth of Turkey and its key partners, and a seriously worse currency. Policy.”

At the same time, as foreign exchange reserves have declined in the current month, the Turkish central bank has reduced the financial resources it can use to stabilize the exchange market.

Data released by the Turkish Central Bank last Friday shows that Turkey’s foreign exchange reserves have fallen sharply in the week ended May 13 this year, indicating the rising cost of efforts to support the Turkish lira.

The Bloomberg News Agency cited central bank data showing that foreign exchange reserves declined by $ 4.8 billion in the week under review, bringing the country’s total reserves to $ 61.2 billion, enough to offset its imports for about 10 months.

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Christian Macyo, an economist at London-based DT Securities, said in a note to clients that the weekly decline in Turkey’s foreign exchange reserves was a “shock” and a sign that Turkey was continuing its “failed swim against the tide”.

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Economy

Saudi Aramco to enter into new acquisition deal in China

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Saudi Aramco to enter into new acquisition deal in China

Saudi Aramco continues its strategy of expanding petrochemical investments as part of a plan to convert 4 million barrels of oil per day into chemical products.

The Saudi oil giant has made China one of the most important markets it aims to expand into by entering into partnership or acquisition deals in the oil refining and petrochemical sector.

In this context, Saudi Aramco, one of the world’s leading integrated companies in the field of energy and petrochemicals, and Jiangsu Eastern Xinghong Company Limited (Eastern Xinghong), on Wednesday, September 27 (2023), signed a framework cooperation agreement to enter. In advising on potential acquisitions.

Acquisition Agreement Targets – Step Report Seen by Special Energy Platform – Acquisition of 10% strategic stake in Jiangsu Xinghong Petrochemical Industry Group Co., Ltd. (Jinghong Petrochemical), a wholly-owned subsidiary of East Jinggang, the deal is subject to necessary assessments and approvals.

Big investments

Xinghong Petrochemical Company owns and operates an integrated refining and petrochemical complex with a production capacity of 320 million barrels per day, as well as a methanol-to-olefins and derivatives complex.

Through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, it also has a facility for the production of refined terephthalic acid, and its facilities are located in the Petrochemical Industrial Park in Jiangsu Province.

An Aramco employee walks near an oil tank at the Ras Dhanura oil refinery – photo from Reuters

Under the framework cooperation agreement, Saudi Aramco intends to supply crude oil and other raw materials to Shenghong Petrochemical Company. Saudi Oil Company and Shenghong Petrochemical Company intend to cooperate on a major expansion project, subject to the results of consultations between the two countries. Conclusion of parties and binding final agreements.

The new deal comes two months after Saudi Aramco closed a deal to buy a 10% stake in Rongsheng Petrochemical Co. for 24.6 billion Chinese yuan (3.4 billion US dollars).

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The deal includes the export of 480,000 barrels per day of Arabian crude oil to the largest integrated refining and petrochemical complex in China owned by Zhejiang Petroleum and Petrochemical Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Rongsheng.

Energy security in China

Mohammed Yahya Al-Qahdani, Saudi Arabia’s head of refining, chemicals and marketing, said, “Through our partnership with East China Sea, we look forward to providing Aramco with the reliable energy needed for growth, development and the long-term sustainability of China’s energy security.

He added: “The signing of the structural cooperation agreement with Saudi Aramco is an important step in our strategy in the field of refining, chemicals and marketing, which aims to increase the company’s ability to convert Arab crude oil into chemicals. Our vision to expand into the Chinese market, one of the world’s leading markets in the energy sector, is to “make China We consider ourselves an important partner today and for decades to come.”

Eastern Singhong, listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, is one of the leading integrated companies in the energy and chemical industry and is keen to adopt advanced technologies in its new businesses in the energy and materials sectors.

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Dollar hits 10-month high as interest rates linger, via Reuters

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Dollar hits 10-month high as interest rates linger, via Reuters
© Reuters. One hundred US dollar bills in Seoul, a photo from the Reuters archive.

SINGAPORE (Reuters) – The dollar hit a 10-month high as the U.S. continues to dominate at long-term highs.

In recent trading, the euro fell 0.14 percent to $1.05575, its lowest level in six months at $1.05555. The euro is heading for a quarterly loss of more than three percent, its worst quarterly performance in a year.

It fell 0.09 percent to $1.2146 after touching a six-month low of $1.2141 on Wednesday. Sterling is heading for a quarterly loss of more than four percent.

It hit a ten-month low of 106.30.

The rise in earnings led to a fall in the yen, which rose slightly to 149.03 yen against the dollar after falling to an 11-month low of 149.185 on Tuesday.

Some experts believe a breach of the 150 yen threshold could force Japanese authorities to intervene to support the currency, as they did last year.

The Australian dollar was down 0.20 percent at $0.6385.

The New Zealand dollar was down 0.23 percent at $0.5931.

(Prepared by Marwa Salam for Arabic Bulletin – Editing by Marwa Gharib)

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Copper shortage threatens global green energy transition |

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Copper shortage threatens global green energy transition |

Paris – The long global path to carbon neutrality to replace energy systems dependent on fossil fuels runs into a pitfall: the transition requires more copper than companies can currently produce.

Supply in the world copper market is expected to record a shortfall of up to six million tonnes relative to demand in the medium term, raising concerns about the energy transition.

Experts consider the red metal, which has not received enough attention in the past four years, to be a vital artery for energy networks, electrical equipment and other resources and industries, and a key means of reducing greenhouse gases.

Nexans Group Operations Director Vincent Desalle says: “If you want to transfer energy within a car or a building or between a production plant and a point of consumption, you have to send electricity, and currently we don’t have any. Better than copper, with acceptable cost and durability.”

Desalle confirmed to Agence France-Presse that the world was forced to rely on electricity to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, which increased demand for copper.

Europe, in particular, wants to reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 55 percent by 2030 compared to 1990. At the same time, developing countries are turning to electricity.

The International Energy Agency, which is organizing a summit on minerals critical to the energy transition this week, confirms that the copper market will see growth of about 50 percent between 2017 and 2022, reaching about $200 billion.

Diesel explained that two decades ago the world consumed 9 to 10 million tons of copper, and now its consumption is 23 to 24 million tons, which means the number has doubled.

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“We believe that in just ten years, global consumption will reach 35 to 40 million tonnes,” he said.

A study by Standard & Poor’s Global last February indicated that annual demand will double and reach 50 million tonnes by 2035, and that assumes sufficient red metal is available, which of course is not.

Copper is a relatively abundant electrical conductor, has no better substitute, and can be found in all kinds of products, from toasters to air conditioners, computer chips, smartphones and electric cars.

Diesel pointed out that in addition to the many cables needed to connect offshore wind turbines to power grids, a battery-powered car typically requires twice the amount of copper as a conventional car.

It’s unclear whether the usually cautious mining sector will absorb the scale of investment needed to meet the world’s needs, while faltering means the energy transition program could be derailed.

Laurent Soccoli of the International Copper Association, which includes mining companies and smelters and represents 50 percent of the world’s tonnage of copper produced, pointed out that the data pointed to the possibility of a “supply shortfall” for several years.

He stressed that the shortage was not yet due to “various reasons, including the development of prices and (copper’s) periodic replacement”.

Due to the tremendous growth in demand, he said, “we will face a problem with a shortfall of around 5 to 6 million tonnes in the early 2030s”.

Several ways to avoid shortages in the copper market have been mentioned, including the use of aluminum, which is a good conductor of electricity and does not see a shortage of resources, but its supply chain poses difficulties.

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According to Desalle, “Its production requires three different stages, and they are not always in the same geographical areas.”

Aluminum production uses a large amount of energy and leads to carbon emissions, so its price depends on energy prices.

He added, “Finally, there is a geopolitical element, which is that Russia, one of the world’s largest aluminum producers, has created additional restrictions on this market.”

As a way to avoid shortages in the copper market, the issue of recycling it is often mentioned among some experts and companies in the field.

The International Copper Association estimates that 40 percent of this metal is currently recycled, representing “one-third of the annual supply.” The importance of this method is increasing in industrialized countries.

According to Shokwali, while full copper recycling is difficult to envision in the long term, since it is often buried in the ground or in buildings, the 40 percent rate could be increased “through aggregate collection methods and improved copper separation techniques.”

Forecasts show that supply growth will peak in 2024 as fewer new mining projects come online and existing copper resources dry up.

Goldman Sachs analysts estimate that mining companies will need to spend nearly $150 billion over the next decade to deal with a shortfall of up to eight million tons.

According to the Global Copper Research Group, the global copper deficit in 2021 was 441 thousand tons, which is less than two percent of the demand for the refined metal.

Standard & Poor’s Global’s current worst-case scenario projections indicate a deficit equivalent to twenty percent of consumption by 2035.

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