Monday, July 15, 2024

Is Robert Kennedy influencing Biden’s constituency?


US reports consider Kennedy’s decision to represent a turning point that could complicate the situation in presidential elections expected to be held in November next year.

CNN said, “It would be foolish to ignore the current polls indicating that Robert Kennedy Jr. is ahead of any other independent candidate and has a real chance to influence the outcome of the 2024 elections.”

Kennedy won 22 percent of registered voters, according to a recent Quinnipiac University poll.

The last independent presidential candidate to receive more than 20 percent of support in a poll conducted a year before the election was Ross Perot in 1992, and he received 19 percent of the vote in the official election.

“If political analysts don’t take into account that someone like Kennedy is trending at 20 percent in some polls, they’re missing a potential sign of where the presidential race is headed,” CNN reported.

In this vein, the Financial Times continued, explaining that Democrats are concerned that Kennedy will take away a portion of President Biden’s vote in the election, as he faces concerns about the economy and his age in an expected matchup against Republican Trump. candidate.

Who was Robert Kennedy Jr.?

  • Last April, Kennedy, son-in-law of the 35th President of the United States, John F. Kennedy wanted to run for the Democratic nomination against the sixty-year-old incumbent, Joe Biden, as his candidate for the United States presidential elections.
  • Last October, he returned asserting that he had entered the race as an independent, distancing himself from “Wall Street, Big Tech, Big Pharma, lobbyists and the bipartisan establishment.”
  • After aligning “as a unit” with the Biden campaign, he complained that the Democratic Party denied him a fair chance in the nomination race.
  • Kennedy President John F. Kennedy’s son-in-law and Senator Robert F. Kennedy’s son. Both were assassinated while in office in 1963 and 1968, respectively, and are considered the most important events in American politics of the twentieth century. .
  • Robert Kennedy Jr. has worked as an environmental advocate for decades, but since 2005 he has become known for promoting conspiracy theories about vaccines, particularly linking them to the development of autism.
  • During his candidacy, Kennedy promised to work to end the deep political divide in the United States by “telling the truth to the American people.”
  • But on the other hand, the rift in his family deepened after a group of his siblings described his candidacy as “very sad”, with younger sister Kerry Kennedy saying in a joint statement: “He may have the same name as our father, but he does not share the same values, vision or judgment. His We condemn the nomination and believe he poses a danger to our country.
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Are you worried?

Scott Morgan, an American researcher specializing in national security issues from Washington, in an interview with Sky News Arabia, downplayed the “third parties” entering the election race against Biden and Trump, explaining that their chances are higher than others. candidate.

Morgan said, “At best, he’s the progressive activist and philosopher Cornel West and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, and then maybe Kennedy is a minor candidate.”

In addition, the American researcher believes that Kennedy will not have a big impact on the votes going to Biden. Instead, “current trends show that he’s taking votes away from Trump, and that indicates that the Republican nominee has more to worry about than Biden,” Morgan said.

In key swing states, an independent candidate can have a significant impact on the outcome of a presidential race.

According to polls conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, Kennedy won more than 25 percent of the vote in six states Biden won in 2020: Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Michigan.

Rolf Colon
Rolf Colon
"Creator. Award-winning problem solver. Music evangelist. Incurable introvert."

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