Economy
Annual U.S. inflation held steady in September, beating expectations
Inflation in the United States
The US CPI was flat year-on-year, against expectations, while the core inflation rate tracked by the central bank and markets fell in line with market expectations.
The U.S. Labor Department said the consumer price index for September was steady at 3.7 percent on an annual basis, while the core consumer price index fell to 4.1 percent on an annual basis, in line with expectations and the lowest level in more than two years.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected annual inflation to ease to 3.6 percent last September.
On a monthly basis, the consumer price index fell 0.4 percent last month, down from 0.6 percent in August.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected inflation to ease to 0.3 percent last September.
A decline in the core inflation rate in the United States may increase speculation that the Federal Reserve will continue to stabilize interest rates at its upcoming meetings.
At its last meeting, the US Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged at a 22-year low after raising interest rates 11 times since March 2022, hitting a target range of 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s Sept. 19-20 meeting show increasing uncertainty over the path of the U.S. economy, with volatile data and tight financial markets posing risks to growth.
The Fed’s minutes from last September’s meeting showed all participants agreed that monetary policy should remain tight for a while until the Federal Reserve’s interest rate-setting committee is confident that inflation is moving steadily downward toward its 2 percent target.
Boston Federal Reserve Bank President Susan Collins said on Wednesday that the U.S. central bank has not raised interest rates with the aim of returning inflation to its target, despite increasing chances of the economy escaping a recession.
Comments from other central bank policymakers, including Rafael Bostic of Atlanta, are also expected on Thursday.
Since the September meeting, markets have dismissed the prospect of another rate hike. There is only a 9 percent chance of raising the interest rate at the next meeting, which is scheduled for October 31 to November 1. There is a 28 percent chance of a December meeting, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
“Award-winning beer geek. Extreme coffeeaholic. Introvert. Avid travel specialist. Hipster-friendly communicator.”
Economy
EUR/USD Analysis Today: Euro Looking for Buyers
The Euro went back and forth during Thursday’s session, focusing on the 200-day EMA, an indicator that people sometimes focus on. At the same time, the market found itself testing the 1.0750 level, which had previously led to significant price volatility. Taking all factors into account, this situation highlights the situation where the Euro is preparing for a consolidation mode, which is waiting for an improvement in the US bond markets. Interest rates have played an important role in currency markets in recent times as traders discern the Federal Reserve’s stance on monetary policy – whether it will ease or maintain a more conservative approach.
Our recommended forex brokers in the region
Also, the recent decline in interest rates may indicate market expectations of an impending economic downturn, which tends to promote the safe-haven status of the US dollar. This dynamic manifests itself in increased demand for US bonds, which subsequently leads to lower yields and higher demand for the US dollar.
Further complicating the situation is the influx of capital into Europe, which is struggling with the problems of the Great Recession. Overall, prevailing landscape traders face short-term rallies, although support should remain in the intervention area. It’s worth noting that next Friday’s session will be important, as employment data could influence the central bank’s course of action, or at least the perception of what it may or may not do. The market will continue to ask a lot of questions about the EU, which will favor the US dollar. Additionally, if the world slips into a major recession, the US dollar is usually a safe haven for traders.
Ultimately, the Euro is going through a challenging environment right now and the 1.0850 level is one to watch as it struggles with various factors. A break of this level could indicate an upward trend, although the current momentum is insufficient to facilitate such a move. It’s conceivable that a significantly weaker employment report could give the markets the momentum they need to return to volatility and make this market move very quickly. However, as we approach the end of the year, this could mean a decrease in volume, making markets difficult to predict.
“Award-winning beer geek. Extreme coffeeaholic. Introvert. Avid travel specialist. Hipster-friendly communicator.”
Economy
Oil falls to lowest level in last 6 months
Oil prices fell to a six-month low on Thursday, driven by investor concerns about slowing energy demand in the United States and China at a time when U.S. production is near record highs.
Brent crude futures were down 25 cents at $74.05 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down four cents at $69.34, with both crudes hitting their lowest levels since late June.
John Evans, an analyst at PVM Oil, said: “Demand from the biggest global oil importer (China) is under pressure on prices, especially with the continuation of record production by the largest producer, the US.”
U.S. production is at an all-time high of more than 13 million barrels per day, according to U.S. Energy Information Administration data.
The Energy Information Administration said U.S. gasoline inventories rose 5.4 million barrels last week to 223.6 million barrels, more than five times the expected increase of one million barrels.
Concerns about the Chinese economy also limited oil price gains.
Chinese customs data showed crude oil imports fell 9 percent in November from a year ago due to higher inventory levels, weaker economic indicators and lower demand from independent refineries.
Although China’s total imports fell month-on-month, exports grew in November for the first time in six months, suggesting rising global trade flows could help the manufacturing sector.
Oil prices have fallen about ten percent since the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the OPEC Plus group – which includes allies including Russia – announced a voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day in the first quarter of next year.
On Thursday, the biggest oil exporters, Saudi Arabia and Russia, called on all OPEC Plus members to join a deal to cut production for the benefit of the global economy.
(Reuters)
“Award-winning beer geek. Extreme coffeeaholic. Introvert. Avid travel specialist. Hipster-friendly communicator.”
Economy
Gold rises as dollar weakens and U.S. jobs data expected by Reuters
By Harshit Verma
(Reuters) – As the dollar fell on Thursday, investors could look to U.S. jobs data released later this week for fresh clues on the Federal Reserve’s path on interest rates.
It was up 0.3 percent at $2,030.20 an ounce by 0748 GMT. US gold futures were at $2,047.10 an ounce.
It fell 0.3 percent against rival currencies, with gold prices lower for holders of other currencies, while the 10-year yield hit a three-month low.
U.S. data released this week showed signs of a gradual slowdown in the U.S. labor market, with job openings falling to their lowest level in two-and-a-half years in October, while private sector employment rose less than expected last month.
Investors await U.S. nonfarm payrolls data to be released on Friday before the Federal Reserve updates its economic forecasts and interest rates at its fiscal policy meeting scheduled for Dec. 12-13.
“There is a widespread expectation that non-farm payrolls will be lower,” said Nicholas Vrabel, head of global corporate markets at ABC Refinery.
According to CME Group’s FeedWatch service, 60 percent of traders expect interest rates to fall by March 2024. Low interest rates support gold, which does not generate income.
For other precious metals, it was $23.87 per ounce. Platinum rose 0.5 percent to $894.03. An ounce was up 0.7 percent at $950.42.
(Prepared by Noha Zakaria for Arabian Bulletin – Editing by Salma Najm)
“Award-winning beer geek. Extreme coffeeaholic. Introvert. Avid travel specialist. Hipster-friendly communicator.”
-
Top News2 years ago
Reasons why there isn’t More Scoring in Soccer
-
science2 years ago
A Scientific Surprise .. Contemporary Month of Ancient Egyptians | Science
-
Top News2 years ago
Direction Dubai: Private jets were attacked to escape the health drama in India
-
Top News1 year ago
Top 3 Cities in Vietnam for Digital Nomads
-
Tech2 years ago
The email is said to have come from Nintendo’s Lost Game Boy extension
-
Economy5 months ago
Apple’s market cap is about $3 trillion
-
Tech2 years ago
Netflix launches new video game platform on Android devices
-
Economy1 year ago
Geely Monjaro 2023 Launched in Saudi Arabia .. Specifications and Prices (Video and Photos)