“Once in 300 years.” Scientists reveal why Libya and its neighbors have become the scene of natural disasters

  • World
  • September 20, 2023

Scientists at the World Weather Attribution Project said on Tuesday that heavy rains in Libya, which led to catastrophic floods that killed thousands, were 50 percent above normal rainfall this year. For global warming phenomenon.

Cyclone Daniel, coming from Greece, collapsed two dams in the eastern Libyan city of Derna after flooding from a normally dry river destroyed the foundations of residential buildings built alongside it.

The causes of the disaster are the construction of houses on the mouths of rivers, poor condition of dams, prolonged armed conflicts and other local factors.

Scientists from the World Weather Attribution Project, an international research collaboration that quantifies the role climate change plays in specific weather events, said: “Climate change also increased rainfall rates by more than 50 percent during that period.”

Terna is still searching for its dead… a “tragedy” that expresses the suffering of the world.

A week after devastating floods killed thousands of people in eastern Libya, the search for bodies of missing people under the rubble in the stricken city of Derna continues, while the United Nations secretary-general spoke of a “sad picture”. city.

As climate change pushes weather to new extremes, building homes in floodplains or using substandard materials in construction could be dangerous, scientists have warned.

“The combination of these factors and the heavy rains, exacerbated by climate change, have caused severe devastation (in Libya),” the scientists wrote in a statement.

They used climate model simulations to compare weather events to today’s if temperatures had not already risen 1.2 degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial average.

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Climate change increases precipitation and makes it irregular because warmer weather can carry more water vapor, causing more moisture, and rain that cannot be carried by clouds.

Communications were cut off and journalists were asked to leave… The stricken Terna was increasingly isolated

The Libyan Telecommunications Company announced on Tuesday the disruption of fiber optic cables connecting more than one route in the eastern region, leading to a cutoff of communications to the city of Derna, which was hit by massive flooding a week ago. Two dams collapsed leading to thousands of deaths.

The scientists’ research explained that if there was no global warming, the “absolutely unusual” storm would have had 50 percent more rainfall.

Under the current climate such an event is expected once every 300 or 600 years.

Climate change at the same time “increased the amount of rainfall in the Mediterranean region by up to 40 percent in early September,” causing floods that killed dozens in Greece, Bulgaria and Turkey.

“The Mediterranean is a hotspot for climate change-induced risks,” said Frederic Otto, a climate scientist at the Grantham Institute for Climate Change and Environment, referring to heat waves and wildfires in the region during the summer.

  • Rolf Colon

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