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Air cargo demand rose 1.9% in September

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Air cargo demand rose 1.9% in September

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has revealed the latest air cargo data on global markets for September 2023, showing a continued recovery in demand.

  • Global demand measured by freight tonne kilometers increased by 1.9% compared to September 2022 levels (+1.6% for international operations)..
  • Capacity, measured in freight tons per kilometer, increased by 12.1% compared to September 2022 (+11.0% for international operations). The growth is related to international capacity, which rose 31.5% year-on-year as airlines expand operations to meet peak demand during the Northern Hemisphere summer travel season.

Major factors affecting the level of air cargo demand include the following:

Manufacturing PMI (49.7) and New Export Orders PMI (47.7) were both recorded in September, a slight improvement from the previous month. However, it remains below the critical 50-point threshold, which indicates a continued, but slightly slower, annual decline in global production and exports..

Global cross-border trade fell for a fifth straight month in August, down 3.8% year-on-year, reflecting a cooler global macroeconomic environment..

Annual growth in US CPI in September was 3.7%, the same rate as in August. Consumer price index inflation in Europe and Japan declined by 1.0 and 0.2 percentage points, respectively, to 4.9% and 3.0% respectively. In China, policy measures aimed at combating deflation saw the consumer price index rise by 0.1% annually.%.

Average September jet fuel prices were $131.0 per barrel, representing a 43.1% increase over May 2023 prices. The recovery of some of this additional cost from the September surcharge contributed to the first increase in air cargo revenue since November 2022.

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And he said Willie Walsh, Director General, International Air Transport Association (IATA): “Despite lower trade volumes and higher jet fuel prices, air cargo posted modest growth (1.9%) in September, clearly demonstrating the strength of air cargo’s value proposition. With key export orders and manufacturing PMIs moving closer to positive territory, we can say. We “end the year We are cautiously optimistic about a strong peak season.”

Regional performance for the month of September

Registered airlines Asia Pacific A 7.7% increase in air cargo volumes in September 2023 compared to the same month in 2022. This was an improvement in performance compared to August (+4.6%), as airlines in the region benefited from growth in three key trade corridors: Europe-Asia (+9.6%), Middle East-Asia (+7.0%), and Africa-Asia (+ 12.8%), and available capacity for airlines in the region increased by 30.5% compared to September 2022. Capacity reserved for air cargo on passenger flights (a year ago key Asian markets such as Japan and China were subject to severe travel restrictions due to the pandemic).

Registered airlines North America A weak performance in September, with a 2.2% decline in inventory levels. (-1.4%) decreased compared to August. Although the trade corridor between North America and Asia narrowed (from -4.3% in August to -1.8% in September), the North American and European markets were flat for the second month in a row (-2.5%), and carriers, notably, increased capacity by 0.2% compared to September 2022. Moderately increased.

And I signed up European airlines A 1.5% decline in air cargo volumes in September compared to the same month in 2022. This is an underperformance compared to the previous month of August (-0.6%). European market (-5.7% in September). Gains were offset by the expansion of the trade corridor between the Middle East and Europe (+3.3% in September compared to +0.5% in August), compared to -5.2% in August. There is some decline in efficiency within Europe and capacity increased by 4.7% in September 2023 compared to 2022.

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And I signed up Airlines in the Middle East Strong performance in September 2023, with a 2.5% year-on-year increase in inventory volumes, an improvement on the previous month’s performance (+1.3%). Transport companies in the region benefited from growth in the Middle East and Asia markets (+7.0%) and Middle East and Europe markets (+3.3%), and capacity increased by 16.1% compared to September 2022.

And I signed up Airlines in Latin America 2.3% increase in inventory levels compared to September 2022. This is considered significantly lower in performance compared to the previous August (+6.2%), and capacity increased by 14.4% in September compared to the same month in 2022.

When I registered African airlines Despite strong growth in demand on the Africa-Asia trade route (+12.8%), air cargo volumes declined by 0.1% in September 2023. This is considered an improvement in performance compared to August (-3.5%). Capacity was 2.7% above September 2022 levels.

Check out the Air Cargo Industry Analysis for September

#Corporate Data

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Economy

Analysis of Bitcoin Against the US Dollar Today: Bitcoin

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Analysis of Bitcoin Against the US Dollar Today: Bitcoin

Bitcoin fell early in Friday’s session but quickly reversed, showing renewed vitality. All indicators currently point to an upward trajectory, with the $45,000 level likely to be targeted in the near term. Current sentiment appears decidedly bullish, and any pullbacks in the market are likely to be closely watched for potential buying opportunities and value discovery.

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In this dynamic market, there is significant support at the $40,000 level, often referred to as the “market bottom.” Additionally, the 20-day moving average is in line with this level, which reinforces its importance. However, it is important to realize that Bitcoin’s defining characteristic is its volatility, a characteristic inherent not only to Bitcoin but to the wider cryptocurrency space.

A significant factor influencing Bitcoin’s trajectory is the relationship between US interest rates and the cryptocurrency. Interest rates show a negative relationship with Bitcoin, as low interest rates encourage investors to seek higher returns across the risk spectrum. Conversely, high interest rates may deter institutional investors from entering the cryptocurrency market.

Also, investors are eyeing the potential launch of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the coming months. This development has sparked excitement in the cryptocurrency community, with ETFs representing a departure from Bitcoin’s original spirit. However, it highlights the growing interest in bridging the gap between traditional financial networks and the emerging cryptocurrency landscape.

It is important to note that although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) still indicates an overbought position, this alone does not indicate a decline in Bitcoin’s price. On the other hand, this could indicate a period of consolidation as the market recalibrates and absorbs recent gains.

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Ultimately, the outlook for Bitcoin appears bleak, with the cryptocurrency poised for potential gains in the short term. The market’s inherent volatility is a hallmark, but investors are alert to spot opportunities within volatility. Bitcoin’s performance is closely intertwined with US interest rate dynamics and the evolving status of financial instruments such as bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF), which are expected to continue to dominate the imagination of market participants. The cryptocurrency market is an interesting arena, offering both challenges and opportunities to those trading in its complexities.

Daily chart of Bitcoin against the US Dollar

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3 Asian countries control 72% of global chip industry, and US earmarks $260 billion to regain leadership

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3 Asian countries control 72% of global chip industry, and US earmarks $260 billion to regain leadership

About 70% of the total manufacturing capacity is located in South Korea, Taiwan and China, with the US in fifth place after Japan, which will have a 13% share in 2022, the semiconductor lobby body revealed.

In 1990 the United States accounted for 37% of production capacity, Europe another 44%, and Japan came in third with 19%. The latter was considered a semiconductor powerhouse in the 1980s, accounting for 51% of global chip sales in 1988.

The Biden administration passed the Chips and Science Act in August 2022, allocating about $280 billion to push the lagging domestic chip industry in terms of research and manufacturing to regain its leadership.

Although 200 mm wafers are still widely manufactured and used, the chart focuses on 300 mm wafers introduced in 2001, capable of holding more wafers and believed to be more cost-effective.

In 2022, the new standard and its predecessor showed similar production levels, but these numbers are expected to change significantly in the coming years.

By 2026, SEMI expects monthly volume of 9.6 million 300 mm wafers, while 200 mm wafer production will reach 7.7 million per month. In the last category, China leads in terms of production capacity, followed by Japan and Taiwan in second and third place respectively.

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Economy

Bitcoin is jumping around 10 percent on the week

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Bitcoin is jumping around 10 percent on the week

Bitcoin rallied strongly this week as the world’s number one cryptocurrency hit its all-time high, with a recovery in financial assets benefiting from the dollar’s decline.

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The prospect of an end to the Federal Reserve’s continuing monetary tightening cycle for more than a year and a half has contributed to a recovery in all financial assets, including major indices in global stock markets. Gold hit an all-time high after breaking above $2,100 an ounce, while Bitcoin rose to its highest level in 2023. This year has been one of the windiest years for the cryptocurrency as it ranks ninth. The largest assets by market value rose 166 percent to reach $860 billion.

Other reports, expectations of an end to the monetary tightening cycle, and expectations of an earlier-than-expected shift in monetary policy contributed to bitcoin’s gains. The latest expectations indicate the possibility of a rate cut in the US after the end of the first quarter of 2024, compared to previous expectations, which indicates the possibility of a rate cut at the beginning of the third quarter of the year. The most important factors fueling Bitcoin’s rise are reports of the imminent approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) submitted to major investment firms and related US bodies.

On the other hand, this year has not been without negative news for cryptocurrencies, especially the sanctions faced by one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, Finans, which admitted early last month that it had lied in some of the allegations against it. US and private authorities were fined approximately $4.3 billion for anti-money laundering crimes, while the exchange’s founder, Changpeng Zhao, pleaded guilty and announced his resignation as CEO. Financial transfer.

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Bitcoin rose 9.97% to register around $43,801 during this week’s trading. Meanwhile, Ethereum price rose 6.56% to reach $2,345.

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