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Gold prices fall for first time in 5 sessions on higher US dollar – (Update)

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Gold prices fall for first time in 5 sessions on higher US dollar – (Update)

Gold prices fell more than $4 by the end of today’s trade, Thursday, October 12 (2023), for the first time in 5 sessions, with the US currency strong against a basket of major currencies.

US data indicated that the annual inflation rate of last September was confirmed at 3.7%, contrary to expectations, it was 3.6%, while unemployment claims in the US were confirmed at 209 thousand applications.

Yesterday, Wednesday, October 11, gold prices ended trading higher by $12, reaping the fourth consecutive session of gains amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Gold price today

By the end of the session, gold futures for December 2023 delivery were down 0.22%, or $4.3, at $1,883 an ounce.

At 05:45 GMT (08:45 Mecca time), prices of contracts for immediate delivery of gold fell 0.26% to $1,869.5 an ounce, according to data seen by the specialized energy site.

Spot silver also fell 1.05% to $21.81 an ounce, spot platinum was down 2.36% to $869.53 an ounce, and spot palladium was down 3.14% to $1,137 an ounce.

At the same time, it rose Dollar symbol – It tracks the performance of the US currency against 6 major currencies – 0.68%, reaching 106.54 points.

Gold Price Analysis

Growing uncertainty about the path of the U.S. economy pushed policymakers into a new doldrums last month, minutes of the central bank’s September meeting showed, as senior central bank officials reiterated in a series of statements this week.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Wednesday that higher market interest rates would help the Fed lower inflation and allow the central bank to “take a look” at whether it should raise interest rates again.

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For his part, Brian Lan, managing director of Singapore Financial Brokerage, said, “We are going to end up raising interest rates, and may eventually increase by 25 basis points, which will not have a big impact on the market. , because it is somewhat expected.” Big”.

He added: “But the only thing is that people expect interest rates to be higher… so precious metal prices will remain broadly lower,” the agency said. Reuters.

Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion, which is 9% below the record reached in May.

Investors still see the possibility of a 26% rate hike at the Fed’s December meeting.

Bond market strategists are sticking to their expectations of a cut in U.S. Treasury yields by the end of the year, as well as a view that 10-year bond yields have peaked, disproved within days by two previous monthly Reuters polls.

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Economy

Analysis of Bitcoin Against the US Dollar Today: Bitcoin

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Analysis of Bitcoin Against the US Dollar Today: Bitcoin

Bitcoin fell early in Friday’s session but quickly reversed, showing renewed vitality. All indicators currently point to an upward trajectory, with the $45,000 level likely to be targeted in the near term. Current sentiment appears decidedly bullish, and any pullbacks in the market are likely to be closely watched for potential buying opportunities and value discovery.

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In this dynamic market, there is significant support at the $40,000 level, often referred to as the “market bottom.” Additionally, the 20-day moving average is in line with this level, which reinforces its importance. However, it is important to realize that Bitcoin’s defining characteristic is its volatility, a characteristic inherent not only to Bitcoin but to the wider cryptocurrency space.

A significant factor influencing Bitcoin’s trajectory is the relationship between US interest rates and the cryptocurrency. Interest rates show a negative relationship with Bitcoin, as low interest rates encourage investors to seek higher returns across the risk spectrum. Conversely, high interest rates may deter institutional investors from entering the cryptocurrency market.

Also, investors are eyeing the potential launch of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the coming months. This development has sparked excitement in the cryptocurrency community, with ETFs representing a departure from Bitcoin’s original spirit. However, it highlights the growing interest in bridging the gap between traditional financial networks and the emerging cryptocurrency landscape.

It is important to note that although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) still indicates an overbought position, this alone does not indicate a decline in Bitcoin’s price. On the other hand, this could indicate a period of consolidation as the market recalibrates and absorbs recent gains.

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Ultimately, the outlook for Bitcoin appears bleak, with the cryptocurrency poised for potential gains in the short term. The market’s inherent volatility is a hallmark, but investors are alert to spot opportunities within volatility. Bitcoin’s performance is closely intertwined with US interest rate dynamics and the evolving status of financial instruments such as bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF), which are expected to continue to dominate the imagination of market participants. The cryptocurrency market is an interesting arena, offering both challenges and opportunities to those trading in its complexities.

Daily chart of Bitcoin against the US Dollar

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Economy

3 Asian countries control 72% of global chip industry, and US earmarks $260 billion to regain leadership

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3 Asian countries control 72% of global chip industry, and US earmarks $260 billion to regain leadership

About 70% of the total manufacturing capacity is located in South Korea, Taiwan and China, with the US in fifth place after Japan, which will have a 13% share in 2022, the semiconductor lobby body revealed.

In 1990 the United States accounted for 37% of production capacity, Europe another 44%, and Japan came in third with 19%. The latter was considered a semiconductor powerhouse in the 1980s, accounting for 51% of global chip sales in 1988.

The Biden administration passed the Chips and Science Act in August 2022, allocating about $280 billion to push the lagging domestic chip industry in terms of research and manufacturing to regain its leadership.

Although 200 mm wafers are still widely manufactured and used, the chart focuses on 300 mm wafers introduced in 2001, capable of holding more wafers and believed to be more cost-effective.

In 2022, the new standard and its predecessor showed similar production levels, but these numbers are expected to change significantly in the coming years.

By 2026, SEMI expects monthly volume of 9.6 million 300 mm wafers, while 200 mm wafer production will reach 7.7 million per month. In the last category, China leads in terms of production capacity, followed by Japan and Taiwan in second and third place respectively.

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Bitcoin is jumping around 10 percent on the week

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Bitcoin is jumping around 10 percent on the week

Bitcoin rallied strongly this week as the world’s number one cryptocurrency hit its all-time high, with a recovery in financial assets benefiting from the dollar’s decline.

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The prospect of an end to the Federal Reserve’s continuing monetary tightening cycle for more than a year and a half has contributed to a recovery in all financial assets, including major indices in global stock markets. Gold hit an all-time high after breaking above $2,100 an ounce, while Bitcoin rose to its highest level in 2023. This year has been one of the windiest years for the cryptocurrency as it ranks ninth. The largest assets by market value rose 166 percent to reach $860 billion.

Other reports, expectations of an end to the monetary tightening cycle, and expectations of an earlier-than-expected shift in monetary policy contributed to bitcoin’s gains. The latest expectations indicate the possibility of a rate cut in the US after the end of the first quarter of 2024, compared to previous expectations, which indicates the possibility of a rate cut at the beginning of the third quarter of the year. The most important factors fueling Bitcoin’s rise are reports of the imminent approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) submitted to major investment firms and related US bodies.

On the other hand, this year has not been without negative news for cryptocurrencies, especially the sanctions faced by one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges, Finans, which admitted early last month that it had lied in some of the allegations against it. US and private authorities were fined approximately $4.3 billion for anti-money laundering crimes, while the exchange’s founder, Changpeng Zhao, pleaded guilty and announced his resignation as CEO. Financial transfer.

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Bitcoin rose 9.97% to register around $43,801 during this week’s trading. Meanwhile, Ethereum price rose 6.56% to reach $2,345.

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