Lebanon election 2022: Expectation of final results of Lebanon elections after Hezbollah allies lose their seats

He added that their initial figures show that the party and its allies are unlikely to get more than 64 seats.

Preliminary results of the Lebanese parliamentary elections showed that Iran-backed Shiite Hezbollah allies had lost the support of the electorate.

The Christian Lebanese Forces Party, which is affiliated with Saudi Arabia, said no group, including Hezbollah, had a majority.

The ministry is expected to announce the final results of the 2022 election on Tuesday.

The format of the next parliament has not yet been decided, and the results have been released continuously, particularly the number of immigrant votes, which showed a change in the seat distribution between the constituencies compared to the first hour results. Vote counting process.

The independent candidates who pledged to reform were victorious, meaning that their visit to parliament would lead to the split into several camps and a more intense polarization between Hezbollah and its allies on the one hand and their opponents on the other.

These enemies are not currently united in one block.

Correspondents say the rigorous political structure of devolution represents little chance of any major political change.

Riyadh may open the door to greater influence in Beirut, a venue that has long been in contention with Tehran, after the Lebanese forces won new seats, according to the results announced on Sunday.

There was no immediate comment from Saudi Arabia – but Iran said it respected the referendum on Monday and would not interfere in Lebanon’s internal affairs.

The United States has imposed sanctions on Hezbollah, welcomed the election and encouraged politicians to re-engage in economic reforms.

After the 2019 uprising, it was the first nationwide election vote to determine the fate of a political elite widely regarded as corrupt and failed.

Analysis: Karen Tarabai – News BBC News Arabic In Lebanon

It is true that divisions are an aspect of Lebanon’s political landscape, but this time the vertical divide created by the elections may be deeper. Others have grown and declined, and as a result of the elections there have been some improvements in the traditional political scene by those who describe themselves as forces of change.

But in the end, beyond talking about who got the majority and who did not, there came a clear division to rule the political logic: the party that supports Hezbollah and the party that opposes Hezbollah.

However, the small size of the constituency close to Hezbollah does not mean that it will withdraw from politics and decisions. Ruling in Lebanon is more complicated than that, so the next stage can be expected to be a stage of contentious conflict, the main result of which will be the disruption of companies’ work and disruption in decision-making. Mechanism, from the most important to the day-to-day life management related.

While election bribery was a major factor in these elections, another important indicator of these elections was the low turnout. If there had been no political money, the percentage would have been much lower.

But in the end, no matter what the political calculations, in economic and life calculations, people will not soon find success. The dollar jumped the day after the election. As soon as the noise of the talks was over, people started talking about the price, the value of the lira, the deteriorating conditions.

Popular protests erupted with the start of the worst recession the world has seen in more than 150 years, and 80 percent of Lebanon’s people are currently living in poverty, in addition to food, fuel and severe shortages of medicine.

The country’s crisis was exacerbated by the outbreak of the corona virus epidemic and the catastrophic eruption at the port of Beirut in 2020, which killed more than 200 people, and investigations continued to fail to determine who caused the eruption. The failure of politicians to testify.

Hezbollah and its allies, including the Maronite Free Patriotic Movement led by President Michael Aun and the Shiite “Amal” movement led by Speaker Nabih Perry, won 71 of the 128 seats in the last 2018 election.

Although Hezbollah and the Amal movement had previously expected to retain their seats, the initial results showed the decline of the independent patriotic movement.

Nevertheless, Hezbollah and the Amal movement captured all Shia territory.

Hezbollah has been able to secure a new seat in the Byblos region for its candidate, Rat Pero.

The Freedom Patriotic Movement claimed two seats, 16 less than the 18 it won in the last election, while rival Lebanese forces claimed at least 20 seats, making it the largest Christian party in the 2018 election, compared to 15 seats. The country has a new parliament.

Samir Kiajia is the leader of the Lebanese Forces Party, one of the leaders of the civil war between 1975 and 1990, and one of the most important critics of Hezbollah’s military power. He said Lebanon “needs radical change.” To solve its problems and force it to obtain an economic recovery package from the international community.

The loss of Truce politician Talal Ruslan was a very exciting decision, and for the first time since 1992 his place was against Mark Dow of the opposition “Takadam” party, which has a reform agenda.

Official results also show that Elias Zarada, a member of the opposition-backed “Together for Change” list, won the Orthodox Christian seat in the southern third district, which is occupied by Assad Horton of Syria. Social Socialist Party close to Hezbollah.

Michel Douaihy, a professor of political science who is part of the “Shamalna” coalition that includes independents, was able to secure a seat in the Zgharta district.

Among the notable losers was Speaker Eli Fersley, who lost the Orthodox Christian seat in West Becca to a well-known candidate in support of Trudeau leader Walid Jumblat, but lost a Sunni seat to Jamblat’s list of Sunni candidate Yassin Yassin.

Attorney Fraser Hamdan won over Marwan Khair El-Din, chairman of the board of directors of the Lebanese Resource Bank.

This is part of former Prime Minister Saad Hariri’s decision to exclude his Sunni “future movement” party from the election after Lebanese forces stopped transferring Saudi Arabian support to the party.

The future movement had won 20 seats in the outgoing parliament.

Poor, sunny-majority Tripoli had the lowest turnout across the country.

Mustafa Allush, a former aide to Hariri who ran as an independent there, said families were waiting for election bribes.

Voter unrest over the performance of the ruling elite for more than 30 years since the end of the civil war in 1990 has led to a drop in turnout.